Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:30 • Lotto Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.51) 0.96 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 29.3% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 11.7% 11.2% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnderlechtStandard Liege
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack33%44%
Defense56%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Anderlecht Standard Liege
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%50%44%20%50%33%
Draws40%25%33%40%0%22%
Loses20%25%22%40%50%44%

Form: Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWD • Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWL

League goals

Metric Anderlecht Standard Liege
HATHAT
GF total9514549
GF avg1.81.31.61.01.01.0
GA total6398412
GA avg1.20.81.01.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnderlechtStandard Liege
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%67%78%
1.544%33%33%33%
2.511%11%0%22%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnderlechtStandard Liege
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricAnderlechtStandard Liege
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAnderlechtStandard Liege
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-22-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-33-0
Goals For5222
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricAnderlechtStandard Liege
Form60%40%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Anderlecht or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 188Bet
Draw4.30 @ Betano
Away5.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Anderlecht = 1.19 (league 1.51), Standard Liege = 0.96 (league 1.25)

Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 11.7% 11.2% 5.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1