Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Achter De Kazerne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.51) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 32.8% 28.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 16.7% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenSt. Truiden
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack50%29%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen St. Truiden
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%60%25%44%
Draws50%40%44%0%50%22%
Loses0%20%11%40%25%33%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDW • St. Truiden: WDWWWDLLL

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen St. Truiden
HATHAT
GF total66128412
GF avg1.51.21.31.61.01.3
GA total4487411
GA avg1.00.80.91.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenSt. Truiden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%78%78%
1.533%22%44%33%
2.511%0%11%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenSt. Truiden
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenSt. Truiden
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenSt. Truiden
Wins23
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-10-2
Biggest losses2-10-32-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenSt. Truiden
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : KV Mechelen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betano
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 0.99 (league 1.51), St. Truiden = 0.80 (league 1.25)

St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 16.7% 13.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1