Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:45 • Stade Joseph Mariën
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.46) 0.58 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 11.1% 4.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack78%67%
Defense78%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise Charleroi
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins100%50%70%20%40%30%
Draws0%33%20%40%20%30%
Loses0%17%10%40%40%40%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWL • Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLL

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise Charleroi
HATHAT
GF total127196713
GF avg3.01.21.91.21.41.3
GA total0557714
GA avg0.00.80.51.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%80%90%
1.560%10%30%50%
2.530%0%20%0%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
Wins43
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-33-12-3
Biggest losses—1-00-22-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against0222

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCharleroi
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Double chance : Union St. Gilloise or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.46 @ 1xBet
Draw4.68 @ Pinnacle
Away8.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 2.88 (league 1.46), Charleroi = 0.58 (league 1.21)

Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.0% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1