Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 11:30 • Jan Breydelstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.51) 2.45 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 19.1% 51.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cercle Brugge 0 1.6% 4.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCercle BruggeGenk
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack75%75%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cercle Brugge Genk
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%40%40%40%
Draws20%60%40%20%20%20%
Loses60%20%40%40%40%40%

Form: Cercle Brugge: DLLWWDLDLD • Genk: LDLWWDLLWW

League goals

Metric Cercle Brugge Genk
HATHAT
GF total94137714
GF avg1.80.81.31.41.41.4
GA total113147714
GA avg2.20.61.41.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCercle BruggeGenk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%90%100%
1.540%40%40%40%
2.520%20%10%0%
3.510%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCercle BruggeGenk
HATHAT
Clean sheets033000
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricCercle BruggeGenk
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricCercle BruggeGenk
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-21-2
Biggest losses2-42-01-22-1
Goals For4332
Goals Against4222

Model comparison

MetricCercle BruggeGenk
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h38%62%
Goals53%47%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Genk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away2.21 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cercle Brugge = 1.67 (league 1.51), Genk = 2.45 (league 1.25)

Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cercle Brugge 0 1.6% 4.0% 4.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 51.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1