Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • DENDER Football Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.51) 0.77 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 44.7% 48.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.7%
0 - 1
30.4%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 39.7% 30.4% 11.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDenderKV Mechelen
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack25%88%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dender KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%0%0%40%40%40%
Draws40%20%30%40%40%40%
Loses60%80%70%20%20%20%

Form: Dender: DDLLLLLLDL • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Dender KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total0337613
GF avg0.00.60.31.41.21.3
GA total411157411
GA avg0.82.21.51.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDenderKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.530%80%90%70%
1.50%50%30%30%
2.50%20%10%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDenderKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score527101

Penalties

MetricDenderKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDenderKV Mechelen
Wins02
Draws22
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-32-1
Goals For0132
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricDenderKV Mechelen
Form11%89%
Att22%78%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h9%91%
Goals33%67%
Total23.0%77.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or KV Mechelen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 188Bet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dender = 0.16 (league 1.51), KV Mechelen = 0.77 (league 1.25)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 39.7% 30.4% 11.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 6.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 44.7% · Away win 48.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1