Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:45 • Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 1.63 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.8% 24.7% 55.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 1
11.6%
0 - 2
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 8.6% 14.1% 11.4% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharleroiAnderlecht
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack22%28%
Defense50%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charleroi Anderlecht
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%50%40%45%
Draws40%17%27%33%40%36%
Loses40%50%45%17%20%18%

Form: Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLL • Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWDWD

League goals

Metric Charleroi Anderlecht
HATHAT
GF total681410717
GF avg1.21.31.31.71.41.5
GA total710176511
GA avg1.41.71.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharleroiAnderlecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%82%55%
1.527%55%45%36%
2.518%9%9%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharleroiAnderlecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCharleroiAnderlecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCharleroiAnderlecht
Wins32
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-12-32-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricCharleroiAnderlecht
Form25%75%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h7%93%
Goals22%78%
Total26.0%74.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Anderlecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Dafabet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charleroi = 0.82 (league 1.46), Anderlecht = 1.63 (league 1.21)

Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 8.6% 14.1% 11.4% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 55.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1