Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 18:15 • Achter De Kazerne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.46) 1.73 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 23.5% 58.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 8.0% 13.8% 11.9% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack50%69%
Defense50%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%43%38%100%57%77%
Draws50%29%38%0%29%15%
Loses17%29%23%0%14%8%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDL • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total81018171128
GF avg1.31.41.42.81.62.2
GA total8816167
GA avg1.31.11.20.20.90.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%77%85%46%
1.531%31%69%8%
2.515%15%38%0%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets123527
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Wins24
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-1—1-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
Form37%63%
Att42%58%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.88 @ 1xBet
Draw4.57 @ Pinnacle
Away1.68 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Betano
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 0.80 (league 1.46), Union St. Gilloise = 1.73 (league 1.21)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 8.0% 13.8% 11.9% 6.8% 3.0% 1.0%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 58.5%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1