Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 12:30 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.46) 1.52 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 25.8% 49.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 8.2% 12.5% 9.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.9% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenkKV Mechelen
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%38%36%29%43%36%
Draws33%38%36%57%29%43%
Loses33%25%29%14%29%21%

Form: Genk: LDLWWDLLWWDDWD • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Genk KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total8111991019
GF avg1.31.41.41.31.41.4
GA total810189817
GA avg1.31.31.31.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenkKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%93%93%79%
1.536%36%29%29%
2.57%0%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenkKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricGenkKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGenkKV Mechelen
Wins22
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-23-21-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-33-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricGenkKV Mechelen
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Genk or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Betano
Away5.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 188Bet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk = 0.98 (league 1.46), KV Mechelen = 1.52 (league 1.20)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 8.2% 12.5% 9.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.9% 6.0% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 49.4%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1