Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Stade Joseph Mariën
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.46) 0.13 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 23.0% 3.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
2 - 0
22.2%
0 - 0
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cercle Brugge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 19.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins100%50%71%13%17%14%
Draws0%38%21%38%50%43%
Loses0%13%7%50%33%43%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWD • Cercle Brugge: DLLWWDLDLDDDLL

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise Cercle Brugge
HATHAT
GF total17122913518
GF avg2.81.52.11.60.81.3
GA total17816521
GA avg0.20.90.62.00.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%50%71%79%
1.564%7%36%50%
2.536%0%14%14%
3.514%0%7%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
HATHAT
Clean sheets527033
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%4 | 80.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%1 | 20.00%
Total35

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Wins42
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-10-3
Biggest losses—1-02-42-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseCercle Brugge
Form77%23%
Att63%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total66.2%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Union St. Gilloise or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw5.19 @ Pinnacle
Away7.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 1.53 (league 1.46), Cercle Brugge = 0.13 (league 1.20)

Cercle Brugge
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 19.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 3.0%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1