Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:45 • Achter De Kazerne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.47) 0.65 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 30.0% 19.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 15.1% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenStandard Liege
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack78%44%
Defense33%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Standard Liege
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%50%40%38%29%33%
Draws57%25%40%38%0%20%
Loses14%25%20%25%71%47%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDW • Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLD

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Standard Liege
HATHAT
GF total911209413
GF avg1.31.41.31.10.60.9
GA total981791019
GA avg1.31.01.11.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenStandard Liege
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%73%53%73%
1.527%27%27%27%
2.513%13%7%20%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenStandard Liege
HATHAT
Clean sheets134224
Failed to score101257

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenStandard Liege
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenStandard Liege
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-34-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenStandard Liege
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : KV Mechelen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 1.24 (league 1.47), Standard Liege = 0.65 (league 1.20)

Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 15.1% 9.8% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.6% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 19.5%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1