Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 17:30 • Lotto Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.48) 1.14 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 28.9% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 10.7% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack70%100%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Anderlecht Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins63%43%53%100%50%73%
Draws25%29%27%0%38%20%
Loses13%29%20%0%13%7%

Form: Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWDWDLWWW • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Anderlecht Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total14822191231
GF avg1.81.11.52.71.52.1
GA total7613178
GA avg0.90.90.90.10.90.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%53%87%47%
1.540%27%67%7%
2.513%7%33%0%
3.57%0%13%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets437628
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
Wins24
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-25-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-0—1-0
Goals For5254
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricAnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
Form43%57%
Att37%63%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total35.4%64.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betfair
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Anderlecht = 1.09 (league 1.48), Union St. Gilloise = 1.14 (league 1.18)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 10.7% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1