Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 12:30 • Achter De Kazerne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.46) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 26.6% 32.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.7% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenCharleroi
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack25%25%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Charleroi
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%50%38%38%25%31%
Draws50%25%38%38%13%25%
Loses25%25%25%25%63%44%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWL • Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLLWLWLD

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Charleroi
HATHAT
GF total911209918
GF avg1.11.41.31.11.11.1
GA total1081871421
GA avg1.31.01.10.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenCharleroi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%75%
1.525%25%25%44%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenCharleroi
HATHAT
Clean sheets134314
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenCharleroi
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenCharleroi
Wins23
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-12-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenCharleroi
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Charleroi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.32 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 1xBet
No2.23 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 1.36 (league 1.46), Charleroi = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 7.9% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.7% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1