Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:45 • Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.46) 0.73 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 26.1% 18.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
OH Leuven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 10.7% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStandard LiegeOH Leuven
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack40%60%
Defense80%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Standard Liege OH Leuven
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%44%41%22%25%24%
Draws38%0%18%33%13%24%
Loses25%56%41%44%63%53%

Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWW • OH Leuven: DLLLWWLLDLLDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Standard Liege OH Leuven
HATHAT
GF total971612618
GF avg1.10.80.91.30.81.1
GA total91120111627
GA avg1.11.21.21.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStandard LiegeOH Leuven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%71%76%82%
1.529%24%18%53%
2.56%18%6%12%
3.50%6%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStandard LiegeOH Leuven
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score257134

Penalties

MetricStandard LiegeOH Leuven
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricStandard LiegeOH Leuven
Wins12
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-01-25-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricStandard LiegeOH Leuven
Form59%41%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : Standard Liege or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Betano
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 1.51 (league 1.46), OH Leuven = 0.73 (league 1.21)

OH Leuven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 10.7% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1