Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 17:30 • Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.46) 0.97 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 34.1% 41.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 19.2% 18.7% 9.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack15%40%
Defense75%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charleroi Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins38%22%29%88%44%65%
Draws38%11%24%13%33%24%
Loses25%67%47%0%22%12%

Form: Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLLWLWLDL • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Charleroi Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total9918201232
GF avg1.11.01.12.51.31.9
GA total715222810
GA avg0.91.71.30.30.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%76%82%53%
1.524%41%59%6%
2.512%12%29%0%
3.50%0%12%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets314628
Failed to score235033

Penalties

MetricCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
Wins34
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-1—1-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away1.98 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Marathonbet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charleroi = 0.68 (league 1.46), Union St. Gilloise = 0.97 (league 1.21)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 19.2% 18.7% 9.1% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 41.1%

vtt 6 , vtd1