Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 • Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.46) 1.59 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 24.6% 44.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Truiden 0 5.6% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack75%50%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Truiden KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%44%56%33%56%44%
Draws11%22%17%44%22%33%
Loses22%33%28%22%22%22%

Form: St. Truiden: WDWWWDLLLWDLWWWWWL • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWW

League goals

Metric St. Truiden KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total151227101424
GF avg1.71.31.51.11.61.3
GA total111122101020
GA avg1.21.21.21.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%89%72%
1.550%39%28%28%
2.517%6%17%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)6 | 85.71%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 14.29%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
Wins52
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-21-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricSt. TruidenKV Mechelen
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h93%7%
Goals65%35%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : St. Truiden or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 188Bet
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away4.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): St. Truiden = 1.28 (league 1.46), KV Mechelen = 1.59 (league 1.21)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Truiden 0 5.6% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 44.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1