Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • DENDER Football Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.46) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 30.9% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 0
17.0%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 17.0% 20.4% 12.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack56%19%
Defense31%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dender Standard Liege
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins0%22%11%33%44%39%
Draws44%22%33%33%0%17%
Loses56%56%56%33%56%44%

Form: Dender: DDLLLLLLDLLDLDWDWL • Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWWL

League goals

Metric Dender Standard Liege
HATHAT
GF total69159716
GF avg0.71.00.81.00.80.9
GA total161632101121
GA avg1.81.81.81.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDenderStandard Liege
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%89%56%72%
1.522%56%28%22%
2.50%22%6%17%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDenderStandard Liege
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score527358

Penalties

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Wins12
Draws21
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-34-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Form53%47%
Att75%25%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Standard Liege

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dender = 0.58 (league 1.46), Standard Liege = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 17.0% 20.4% 12.2% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.8% 11.7% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1