Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:45 • Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.47) 0.88 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 31.4% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 14.5% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharleroiGenk
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack20%27%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charleroi Genk
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%22%28%33%33%33%
Draws44%11%28%33%33%33%
Loses22%67%44%33%33%33%

Form: Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLLWLWLDLD • Genk: LDLWWDLLWWDDWDLWLD

League goals

Metric Charleroi Genk
HATHAT
GF total10919111122
GF avg1.11.01.11.21.21.2
GA total81523111324
GA avg0.91.71.31.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharleroiGenk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%83%94%
1.522%39%33%33%
2.511%11%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharleroiGenk
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricCharleroiGenk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCharleroiGenk
Wins32
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-21-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-23-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricCharleroiGenk
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Genk and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charleroi = 1.05 (league 1.47), Genk = 0.88 (league 1.23)

Genk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 14.5% 12.8% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 29.7%

vtt 23 , vtd1