Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 17:30 • Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.46) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 30.1% 44.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 13.4% 15.9% 9.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack33%75%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Standard Liege St. Truiden
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%50%42%70%44%58%
Draws33%0%16%10%22%16%
Loses33%50%42%20%33%26%

Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWWLW • St. Truiden: WDWWWDLLLWDLWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Standard Liege St. Truiden
HATHAT
GF total9817161228
GF avg1.00.80.91.61.31.5
GA total101121111122
GA avg1.11.11.11.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%68%84%74%
1.526%21%47%37%
2.55%16%16%5%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
HATHAT
Clean sheets246415
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 85.71%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 14.29%
Total37

Streaks

MetricStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
Wins25
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-32-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricStandard LiegeSt. Truiden
Form45%55%
Att31%69%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Standard Liege or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Betano
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 0.82 (league 1.46), St. Truiden = 1.19 (league 1.21)

St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 13.4% 15.9% 9.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1