Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 19:45 • Lotto Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.46) 0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 20.0% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnderlechtCharleroi
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack50%25%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Anderlecht Charleroi
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins70%33%53%30%22%26%
Draws20%33%26%50%11%32%
Loses10%33%21%20%67%42%

Form: Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWDWDLWWWWLWD • Charleroi: DDLDWWWLLLLWLWLDLDD

League goals

Metric Anderlecht Charleroi
HATHAT
GF total17102712921
GF avg1.71.11.41.21.01.1
GA total81220101525
GA avg0.81.31.11.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnderlechtCharleroi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%58%74%79%
1.542%32%26%42%
2.511%11%11%11%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnderlechtCharleroi
HATHAT
Clean sheets538314
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricAnderlechtCharleroi
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAnderlechtCharleroi
Wins43
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-23-12-3
Biggest losses2-34-00-23-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricAnderlechtCharleroi
Form77%23%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : Anderlecht or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away5.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Anderlecht = 1.98 (league 1.46), Charleroi = 0.66 (league 1.21)

Charleroi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Anderlecht 0 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 28 , Vtod1