Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 17:15 • Achter De Kazerne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.46) 0.91 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 27.7% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Dender
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenDender
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack28%39%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Dender
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%50%42%0%22%11%
Draws44%20%32%40%22%32%
Loses22%30%26%60%56%58%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWL • Dender: DDLLLLLLDLLDLDWDWLL

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Dender
HATHAT
GF total1014246915
GF avg1.11.41.30.61.00.8
GA total101121171633
GA avg1.11.11.11.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenDender
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%74%58%89%
1.526%26%21%53%
2.516%11%0%21%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenDender
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score213628

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenDender
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenDender
Wins21
Draws22
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-3—1-2
Biggest losses1-33-11-53-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenDender
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : KV Mechelen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.04 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 1.36 (league 1.46), Dender = 0.91 (league 1.21)

Dender
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.0% 12.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 29 , Vtod1