Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • Stade Joseph Mariën
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.46) 0.23 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.7% 19.1% 4.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 13.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union St. Gilloise KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins89%36%60%30%50%40%
Draws11%45%30%50%20%35%
Loses0%18%10%20%30%25%

Form: Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWDWLDDWD • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Union St. Gilloise KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total221436111425
GF avg2.41.31.81.11.41.3
GA total21012111122
GA avg0.20.90.61.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%55%85%75%
1.555%5%25%25%
2.525%0%15%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets729235
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
Wins42
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-21-3
Biggest losses—1-01-33-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricUnion St. GilloiseKV Mechelen
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or KV Mechelen

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Betano
Draw5.52 @ Pinnacle
Away10.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union St. Gilloise = 1.81 (league 1.46), KV Mechelen = 0.23 (league 1.21)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union St. Gilloise 0 13.0% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 5.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.2% 4.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.7% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 4.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1