Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:45 • Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.46) 1.08 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 27.5% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gent
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 9.2% 10.0% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStandard LiegeGent
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack36%73%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Standard Liege Gent
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%45%38%55%20%38%
Draws30%0%14%18%30%24%
Loses40%55%48%27%50%38%

Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWWLWLL • Gent: LWLDDWWLWWLWLDDLDLLWW

League goals

Metric Standard Liege Gent
HATHAT
GF total10818211132
GF avg1.00.70.91.91.11.5
GA total121325121931
GA avg1.21.21.21.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStandard LiegeGent
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%81%76%
1.524%29%38%43%
2.55%14%19%19%
3.50%5%14%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStandard LiegeGent
HATHAT
Clean sheets246415
Failed to score369134

Penalties

MetricStandard LiegeGent
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricStandard LiegeGent
Wins22
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-02-4
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricStandard LiegeGent
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gent

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 1.30 (league 1.46), Gent = 1.08 (league 1.22)

Gent
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 9.2% 10.0% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 14 , vtd1