Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 18:15 • Den Dreef
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.47) 1.27 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 29.0% 46.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
OH Leuven 0 12.3% 15.6% 9.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack9%45%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric OH Leuven KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins18%27%23%27%45%36%
Draws36%18%27%55%18%36%
Loses45%55%50%18%36%27%

Form: OH Leuven: DLLLWWLLDLLDWWLLDWLDLD • KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWLDLD

League goals

Metric OH Leuven KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total12719121426
GF avg1.10.60.91.11.31.2
GA total131730121224
GA avg1.21.51.41.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%82%77%
1.514%45%23%23%
2.55%9%14%9%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score358224

Penalties

MetricOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-21-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-33-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricOH LeuvenKV Mechelen
Form50%50%
Att17%83%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or KV Mechelen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 1xBet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): OH Leuven = 0.83 (league 1.47), KV Mechelen = 1.27 (league 1.23)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
OH Leuven 0 12.3% 15.6% 9.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1