Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:45 • Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.47) 1.26 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 29.8% 53.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.7%
0 - 0
16.4%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 16.4% 20.7% 13.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.0% 11.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack20%33%
Defense27%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Standard Liege Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%42%38%92%33%63%
Draws25%0%13%8%50%29%
Loses42%58%50%0%17%8%

Form: Standard Liege: WDWLLLDWLLWLWLDWWLWLLLWL • Union St. Gilloise: DWWWDWWWWLWWWDWLDDWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Standard Liege Union St. Gilloise
HATHAT
GF total12820261440
GF avg1.00.70.82.21.21.7
GA total16163231013
GA avg1.31.31.30.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%71%83%50%
1.525%33%50%4%
2.54%21%21%0%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
HATHAT
Clean sheets3479312
Failed to score4711044

Penalties

MetricStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
Wins24
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-0—1-0
Goals For3254
Goals Against4412

Model comparison

MetricStandard LiegeUnion St. Gilloise
Form21%79%
Att38%63%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h7%93%
Goals10%90%
Total20.5%79.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Union St. Gilloise

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.70 @ Betano
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Standard Liege = 0.55 (league 1.47), Union St. Gilloise = 1.26 (league 1.24)

Union St. Gilloise
0 1 2 3 4 5
Standard Liege 0 16.4% 20.7% 13.1% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.0% 11.3% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 53.9%

vtt 6 , vtd1