Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:30 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.46) 1.84 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 22.5% 44.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Gent
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.3% 9.7% 8.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenkGent
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack53%60%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk Gent
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%38%35%46%31%38%
Draws31%31%31%15%31%23%
Loses38%31%35%38%38%38%

Form: Genk: LDLWWDLLWWDDWDLWLDDLLDWWWL • Gent: LWLDDWWLWWLWLDDLDLLWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Genk Gent
HATHAT
GF total171936221941
GF avg1.31.51.41.71.51.6
GA total202040162238
GA avg1.51.51.51.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenkGent
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%81%77%
1.542%42%38%42%
2.512%12%23%19%
3.50%4%15%8%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenkGent
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricGenkGent
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricGenkGent
Wins33
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-34-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricGenkGent
Form59%41%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h85%15%
Goals85%15%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Genk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away4.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Genk = 1.52 (league 1.46), Gent = 1.84 (league 1.22)

Gent
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 3.5% 6.4% 5.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.3% 9.7% 8.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.0% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 44.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1