Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.46) 1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 25.4% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKV MechelenAnderlecht
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack90%100%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KV Mechelen Anderlecht
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%43%39%57%29%43%
Draws43%21%32%29%29%29%
Loses21%36%29%14%43%29%

Form: KV Mechelen: DWWDLWDDWLWDLDWLWWLDLDDWLWWL • Anderlecht: WWLWLDDWDWDLWWWWLWDLLDLLDWWD

League goals

Metric KV Mechelen Anderlecht
HATHAT
GF total181937231841
GF avg1.31.41.31.61.31.5
GA total161733112435
GA avg1.11.21.20.81.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKV MechelenAnderlecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%75%71%64%
1.536%29%43%43%
2.511%14%14%11%
3.50%0%11%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKV MechelenAnderlecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477310
Failed to score224358

Penalties

MetricKV MechelenAnderlecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricKV MechelenAnderlecht
Wins24
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-12-4
Biggest losses1-33-12-34-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricKV MechelenAnderlecht
Form53%47%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Anderlecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Superbet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KV Mechelen = 1.52 (league 1.46), Anderlecht = 1.17 (league 1.22)

Anderlecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
KV Mechelen 0 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1