Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.55) 2.34 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 18.4% 33.6%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee Utd 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
1 1.9% 4.4% 5.2% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundee UtdKilmarnock
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack55%35%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundee Utd Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%40%67%100%80%
Loses50%0%20%33%0%20%

Form: Dundee Utd: DLWDW • Kilmarnock: DDDDL

League goals

Metric Dundee Utd Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total4711347
GF avg2.02.32.21.02.01.4
GA total358448
GA avg1.51.71.61.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundee UtdKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%80%
1.5100%60%60%80%
2.520%40%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundee UtdKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricDundee UtdKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDundee UtdKilmarnock
Wins10
Draws14
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2——
Biggest losses2-3—1-2—
Goals For2322
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricDundee UtdKilmarnock
Form67%33%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Dundee Utd or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundee Utd = 2.57 (league 1.55), Kilmarnock = 2.34 (league 1.28)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee Utd 0 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
1 1.9% 4.4% 5.2% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 2.1% 4.9% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.3% 3.1% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
5 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1