Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:45 • Fir Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.57) 0.05 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.4% 15.4% 0.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.9%
2 - 0
25.7%
3 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 14.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellAberdeen
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack35%0%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%100%100%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%67%100%80%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDD • Aberdeen: LLLDL

League goals

Metric Motherwell Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total347000
GF avg1.51.31.40.00.00.0
GA total347347
GA avg1.51.31.41.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%0%80%
1.540%40%0%60%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011325

Penalties

MetricMotherwellAberdeen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMotherwellAberdeen
Wins00
Draws51
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-22-0
Goals For2300
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellAberdeen
Form83%17%
Att100%0%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total53.8%46.3%

Advice: Winner : Motherwell

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 188Bet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away3.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 1.91 (league 1.57), Aberdeen = 0.05 (league 1.32)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 14.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.4% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1