Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.57) 0.19 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 72.7% 14.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
70.6%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dundee
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 70.6% 13.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenDundee
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack20%25%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

42%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Dundee
HATHAT
Played235426
Wins0%33%20%25%0%17%
Draws100%33%60%25%100%50%
Loses0%33%20%50%0%33%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDW • Dundee: LDDLDW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Dundee
HATHAT
GF total134516
GF avg0.51.00.81.30.51.0
GA total134718
GA avg0.51.00.81.80.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenDundee
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%67%83%
1.520%0%17%50%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenDundee
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricST MirrenDundee
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricST MirrenDundee
Wins00
Draws32
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-2
Biggest losses1-00-2
Goals For1231
Goals Against1121

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenDundee
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ST Mirren or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Superbet
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away5.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.16 (league 1.57), Dundee = 0.19 (league 1.32)

Dundee
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 70.6% 13.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 72.7% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1