Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:45 • Tynecastle Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.57) 0.98 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 23.8% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 6.7% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.3% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%73%
Defense45%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Hibernian
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%100%83%0%33%17%
Draws33%0%17%100%67%83%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWW • Hibernian: WDDDDD

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Hibernian
HATHAT
GF total87156410
GF avg2.72.32.52.01.31.7
GA total336639
GA avg1.01.01.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%83%83%
1.5100%33%67%50%
2.550%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
Wins21
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-2
Biggest losses
Goals For3332
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianHibernian
Form72%28%
Att62%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Heart Of Midlothian or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 1.72 (league 1.57), Hibernian = 0.98 (league 1.32)

Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 6.7% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.3% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1