Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Fir Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.57) 0.53 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.0% 17.0% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 6.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.6% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellFalkirk
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack71%36%
Defense36%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell Falkirk
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%0%33%14%
Draws67%75%71%75%0%43%
Loses0%25%14%25%67%43%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDDWL • Falkirk: DLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Motherwell Falkirk
HATHAT
GF total5611628
GF avg1.71.51.61.50.71.1
GA total37107613
GA avg1.01.81.41.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellFalkirk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%86%86%
1.557%43%29%71%
2.514%29%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellFalkirk
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMotherwellFalkirk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMotherwellFalkirk
Wins11
Draws51
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1
Biggest losses3-21-23-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellFalkirk
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Winner : Motherwell

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 188Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 2.17 (league 1.57), Falkirk = 0.53 (league 1.32)

Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 6.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.6% 7.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1