Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.57) 0.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 40.2% 5.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.8%
1 - 0
31.9%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 35.8% 4.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.9% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%25%0%14%
Draws67%25%43%25%0%14%
Loses0%50%29%50%100%71%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWL • Aberdeen: LLLDLLW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total235404
GF avg0.70.80.71.00.00.6
GA total156369
GA avg0.31.30.90.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%14%71%
1.514%14%14%57%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Wins20
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-0
Biggest losses2-00-22-0
Goals For1240
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenAberdeen
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : ST Mirren or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.89 (league 1.57), Aberdeen = 0.14 (league 1.32)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 35.8% 4.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.9% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1