Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:45 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.53) 0.34 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 36.4% 12.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.7%
1 - 0
26.2%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 26.7% 9.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockAberdeen
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack35%35%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Aberdeen
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%20%25%22%
Draws40%50%44%20%0%11%
Loses40%25%33%60%75%67%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLL • Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Aberdeen
HATHAT
GF total5712516
GF avg1.01.81.31.00.30.7
GA total77145611
GA avg1.41.81.61.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockAberdeen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%33%67%
1.556%67%11%56%
2.50%22%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockAberdeen
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score202336

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockAberdeen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockAberdeen
Wins22
Draws41
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-22-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockAberdeen
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h40%60%
Goals54%46%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Kilmarnock or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.98 (league 1.53), Aberdeen = 0.34 (league 1.24)

Aberdeen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 26.7% 9.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.2% 8.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 4.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1