Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:45 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.55) 0.97 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 37.0% 53.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
0 - 1
28.4%
0 - 2
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Heart Of Midlothian
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 29.2% 28.4% 13.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
1 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack24%71%
Defense59%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Heart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%20%22%80%100%89%
Draws50%20%33%20%0%11%
Loses25%60%44%0%0%0%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLL • Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Heart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
GF total246121022
GF avg0.50.80.72.42.52.4
GA total2810437
GA avg0.51.61.10.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%100%44%
1.511%22%89%22%
2.50%11%56%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
Wins22
Draws31
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-1——
Goals For1233
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenHeart Of Midlothian
Form29%71%
Att25%75%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total26.2%74.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away1.97 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.26 (league 1.55), Heart Of Midlothian = 0.97 (league 1.28)

Heart Of Midlothian
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 29.2% 28.4% 13.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
1 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 53.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1