Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 19:45 • Home of the Set Fare Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.53) 1.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 22.1% 35.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livingston 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.4% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack56%44%
Defense0%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livingston ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played9112010919
Wins11%0%5%30%11%21%
Draws22%36%30%40%22%32%
Loses67%64%65%30%67%47%

Form: Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDLLLL • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLL

League goals

Metric Livingston ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total137207916
GF avg1.40.61.00.71.00.8
GA total19214081826
GA avg2.11.92.00.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivingstonST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%95%58%74%
1.530%65%21%42%
2.55%30%5%21%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets011505
Failed to score167538

Penalties

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Wins12
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses2-44-00-33-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricLivingstonST Mirren
Form13%88%
Att56%44%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total33.7%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ST Mirren

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.41 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livingston = 1.83 (league 1.53), ST Mirren = 1.70 (league 1.24)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livingston 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.4% 9.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 35.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1