Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Fir Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.56) 1.25 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.3% 28.3% 41.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellHibernian
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack82%82%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell Hibernian
HATHAT
Played57126713
Wins40%29%33%33%43%38%
Draws40%57%50%50%43%46%
Loses20%14%17%17%14%15%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDDWLLWWDW • Hibernian: WDDDDDLWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Motherwell Hibernian
HATHAT
GF total81220121123
GF avg1.61.71.72.01.61.8
GA total510157714
GA avg1.01.41.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellHibernian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%77%69%
1.558%33%69%31%
2.517%17%23%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellHibernian
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricMotherwellHibernian
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMotherwellHibernian
Wins22
Draws55
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-20-11-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellHibernian
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hibernian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.74 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 1.03 (league 1.56), Hibernian = 1.25 (league 1.28)

Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 41.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1