Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Pittodrie Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.61) 1.23 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.9% 28.7% 41.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Motherwell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 10.8% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAberdeenMotherwell
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack39%50%
Defense78%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aberdeen Motherwell
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%40%30%40%20%30%
Draws20%0%10%40%60%50%
Loses60%60%60%20%20%20%

Form: Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLW • Motherwell: DDDDDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Aberdeen Motherwell
HATHAT
GF total5278816
GF avg1.00.40.71.61.61.6
GA total56115813
GA avg1.01.21.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAberdeenMotherwell
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%90%70%
1.510%50%60%40%
2.510%0%10%20%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAberdeenMotherwell
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score336011

Penalties

MetricAberdeenMotherwell
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAberdeenMotherwell
Wins21
Draws15
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-23-2
Goals For4123
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricAberdeenMotherwell
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Aberdeen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.96 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Aberdeen = 1.00 (league 1.61), Motherwell = 1.23 (league 1.31)

Motherwell
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 10.8% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5