Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:00 • Celtic Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.61) 0.49 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.2% 11.3% 4.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celtic 0 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelticKilmarnock
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack47%24%
Defense59%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celtic Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins80%40%60%17%20%18%
Draws20%20%20%33%40%36%
Loses0%40%20%50%40%45%

Form: Celtic: WWWDWDWLLW • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Celtic Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total115165813
GF avg2.21.01.60.81.61.2
GA total26881018
GA avg0.41.20.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelticKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%40%73%73%
1.550%30%45%64%
2.530%10%0%27%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelticKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score123303

Penalties

MetricCelticKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCelticKilmarnock
Wins32
Draws14
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses—3-10-33-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCelticKilmarnock
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total72.6%27.4%

Advice: Winner : Celtic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Betano
Draw8.26 @ Pinnacle
Away17.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celtic = 2.74 (league 1.61), Kilmarnock = 0.49 (league 1.31)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celtic 0 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.8% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 7.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.3% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.2% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 4.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3