Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:45 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.55) 0.81 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 37.5% 37.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.9%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 23.9% 19.4% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 12.0% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenHibernian
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack22%44%
Defense56%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Hibernian
HATHAT
Played55105611
Wins20%20%20%20%33%27%
Draws60%20%40%60%50%55%
Loses20%60%40%20%17%18%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLD • Hibernian: WDDDDDLWWLD

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Hibernian
HATHAT
GF total44810818
GF avg0.80.80.82.01.31.6
GA total48127714
GA avg0.81.61.21.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenHibernian
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%73%82%
1.520%30%64%36%
2.50%10%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenHibernian
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricST MirrenHibernian
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricST MirrenHibernian
Wins22
Draws35
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-11-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenHibernian
Form36%64%
Att33%67%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hibernian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.62 (league 1.55), Hibernian = 0.81 (league 1.28)

Hibernian
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 23.9% 19.4% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 12.0% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 37.5% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1