Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 20:00 • The SMISA Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.56) 0.95 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 35.7% 44.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 22.5% 21.5% 10.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.1% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack21%86%
Defense21%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Celtic
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%83%40%64%
Draws50%20%36%17%20%18%
Loses33%60%45%0%40%18%

Form: ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDL • Celtic: WWWDWDWLLWW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Celtic
HATHAT
GF total44815520
GF avg0.70.80.72.51.01.8
GA total7815268
GA avg1.21.61.40.31.20.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenCeltic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%73%36%
1.518%36%55%27%
2.50%18%36%9%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenCeltic
HATHAT
Clean sheets202527
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Wins23
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-1—3-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Form10%90%
Att20%80%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h7%93%
Goals19%81%
Total21.7%78.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celtic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.97 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 0.54 (league 1.56), Celtic = 0.95 (league 1.26)

Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 22.5% 21.5% 10.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.1% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 44.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1