Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Dens Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.53) 1.10 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 27.9% 32.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee 0 9.5% 10.5% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.1% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundeeST Mirren
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense0%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundee ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played67137512
Wins33%0%15%14%20%17%
Draws17%29%23%43%20%33%
Loses50%71%62%43%60%50%

Form: Dundee: LDDLDWLLWLLLL • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Dundee ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total729448
GF avg1.20.30.70.60.80.7
GA total1014248816
GA avg1.72.01.81.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundeeST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%85%50%83%
1.515%62%17%33%
2.58%23%0%17%
3.50%15%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundeeST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score257426

Penalties

MetricDundeeST Mirren
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDundeeST Mirren
Wins12
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-33-1
Goals For3122
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricDundeeST Mirren
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution53%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Dundee or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundee = 1.25 (league 1.53), ST Mirren = 1.10 (league 1.24)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee 0 9.5% 10.5% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.1% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 32.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1