Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 17:45 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.55) 2.17 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 19.6% 61.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dundee Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 4.2% 9.2% 10.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockDundee Utd
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack27%55%
Defense0%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Dundee Utd
HATHAT
Played76136612
Wins14%17%15%33%17%25%
Draws29%33%31%17%67%42%
Loses57%50%54%50%17%33%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLL • Dundee Utd: DLWDWLDDWLDL

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Dundee Utd
HATHAT
GF total681481018
GF avg0.91.31.11.31.71.5
GA total111425101020
GA avg1.62.31.91.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockDundee Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%75%83%
1.538%69%58%58%
2.50%38%17%25%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockDundee Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score314213

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockDundee Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockDundee Utd
Wins21
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-32-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockDundee Utd
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dundee Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.78 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.99 (league 1.55), Dundee Utd = 2.17 (league 1.25)

Dundee Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 4.2% 9.2% 10.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 61.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1