Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:45 • Tynecastle Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.65 (league 1.51) 0.74 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 7.6% 3.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
9.2%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack100%50%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins71%57%64%13%17%14%
Draws29%29%29%38%33%36%
Loses0%14%7%50%50%50%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLD • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total1712297815
GF avg2.41.72.10.91.31.1
GA total5611121426
GA avg0.70.90.81.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%50%71%79%
1.571%21%36%64%
2.543%7%0%36%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score022314

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
Wins62
Draws14
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses—1-00-34-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianKilmarnock
Form86%14%
Att70%30%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total72.7%27.3%

Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ 188Bet
Draw5.21 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ SBO
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 3.65 (league 1.51), Kilmarnock = 0.74 (league 1.23)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 3.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1