Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:00 • Pittodrie Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.55) 1.14 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 23.4% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 5.5% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAberdeenKilmarnock
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack75%25%
Defense58%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aberdeen Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played87159716
Wins25%57%40%11%14%13%
Draws38%0%20%33%43%38%
Loses38%43%40%56%43%50%

Form: Aberdeen: LLLDLLWWLWDWWDW • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Aberdeen Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total106167916
GF avg1.30.91.10.81.31.0
GA total9716151530
GA avg1.11.01.11.72.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAberdeenKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%69%81%
1.520%40%31%63%
2.520%7%0%38%
3.57%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAberdeenKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score336415

Penalties

MetricAberdeenKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAberdeenKilmarnock
Wins22
Draws14
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-34-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricAberdeenKilmarnock
Form85%15%
Att75%25%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals58%42%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Double chance : Aberdeen or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away5.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aberdeen = 1.77 (league 1.55), Kilmarnock = 1.14 (league 1.25)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aberdeen 0 5.5% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1