Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:45 • Tynecastle Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.53) 0.57 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.7% 12.0% 5.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack90%40%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins70%60%65%30%11%21%
Draws30%20%25%40%22%32%
Loses0%20%10%30%67%47%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWLW • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLL

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total2118397916
GF avg2.11.82.00.71.00.8
GA total7101781826
GA avg0.71.00.90.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%55%58%74%
1.570%20%21%42%
2.530%10%5%21%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets549505
Failed to score022538

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Wins62
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses—3-20-33-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Form63%37%
Att69%31%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h62%38%
Goals65%35%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 1xBet
Draw5.20 @ Dafabet
Away11.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.74 (league 1.53), ST Mirren = 0.57 (league 1.24)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.0% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.6% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.7% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 5.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1