Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 19:45 • Tynecastle Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.72 (league 1.54) 0.57 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 12.2% 5.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.4% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack89%22%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played10112111920
Wins70%64%67%27%11%20%
Draws30%18%24%36%22%30%
Loses0%18%10%36%67%50%

Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWWLWW • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Heart Of Midlothian ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total2119407916
GF avg2.11.71.90.61.00.8
GA total71017101828
GA avg0.70.90.80.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%52%55%75%
1.567%19%20%45%
2.529%10%5%20%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510505
Failed to score022639

Penalties

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Wins62
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-01-2
Biggest losses—3-20-33-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricHeart Of MidlothianST Mirren
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals65%35%
Total70.8%29.2%

Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.72 (league 1.54), ST Mirren = 0.57 (league 1.22)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Heart Of Midlothian 0 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.4% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 5.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1