Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Rugby Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.55) 1.22 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 29.1% 42.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 11.6% 14.2% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKilmarnockFalkirk
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack31%23%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kilmarnock Falkirk
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins11%13%12%22%38%29%
Draws33%38%35%56%13%35%
Loses56%50%53%22%50%35%

Form: Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLL • Falkirk: DLWLDLDWWLWDWDDLL

League goals

Metric Kilmarnock Falkirk
HATHAT
GF total7101712719
GF avg0.81.31.01.30.91.1
GA total151732121426
GA avg1.72.11.91.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKilmarnockFalkirk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%82%65%76%
1.529%65%35%47%
2.50%35%12%24%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKilmarnockFalkirk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213134
Failed to score415246

Penalties

MetricKilmarnockFalkirk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKilmarnockFalkirk
Wins22
Draws42
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-24-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricKilmarnockFalkirk
Form29%71%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Falkirk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kilmarnock = 0.93 (league 1.55), Falkirk = 1.22 (league 1.25)

Falkirk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kilmarnock 0 11.6% 14.2% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 42.6%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1