Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Fir Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.55) 0.19 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 16.3% 2.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
22.3%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Dundee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 11.6% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.3% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellDundee
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack38%46%
Defense100%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 09 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell Dundee
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%22%35%38%0%18%
Draws38%67%53%13%33%24%
Loses13%11%12%50%67%59%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDDWLLWWDWWDDWD • Dundee: LDDLDWLLWLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Motherwell Dundee
HATHAT
GF total13122511415
GF avg1.61.31.51.40.40.9
GA total51015141731
GA avg0.61.10.91.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellDundee
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%53%53%88%
1.553%24%24%59%
2.518%12%12%24%
3.50%0%0%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellDundee
HATHAT
Clean sheets538112
Failed to score134268

Penalties

MetricMotherwellDundee
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricMotherwellDundee
Wins21
Draws52
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-1—
Biggest losses1-23-20-34-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellDundee
Form69%31%
Att45%55%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Double chance : Motherwell or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 188Bet
Draw5.01 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 1.97 (league 1.55), Dundee = 0.19 (league 1.25)

Dundee
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 11.6% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.7% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.3% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 2.9%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1