Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Dens Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.54) 1.44 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 24.0% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee 0 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.6% 11.0% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundeeKilmarnock
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack40%20%
Defense30%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundee Kilmarnock
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%0%21%10%11%11%
Draws11%30%21%30%44%37%
Loses44%70%58%60%44%53%

Form: Dundee: LDDLDWLLWLLLLWLLDLW • Kilmarnock: DDDDLWWLLLLLLDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Dundee Kilmarnock
HATHAT
GF total1241671017
GF avg1.30.40.80.71.10.9
GA total141832161733
GA avg1.61.81.71.61.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundeeKilmarnock
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%84%63%79%
1.521%53%26%58%
2.511%21%0%32%
3.50%11%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundeeKilmarnock
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score279527

Penalties

MetricDundeeKilmarnock
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricDundeeKilmarnock
Wins12
Draws24
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-34-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricDundeeKilmarnock
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Dundee or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Betano
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dundee = 1.60 (league 1.54), Kilmarnock = 1.44 (league 1.22)

Kilmarnock
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundee 0 4.8% 6.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.6% 11.0% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 34.2%

vtt 22 , vtd1