Premiership
— Scotland
Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 •
Tynecastle Park
Expected Goals
2.86 (league 1.54)
0.45 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.3% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Livingston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 7% |
| Attack | 70% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 14% | 0% | 6% |
| Draws | 33% | 22% | 28% | 29% | 40% | 35% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 6% | 57% | 60% | 59% |
Form: Heart Of Midlothian: WWDWWWWWWDWDLDDWWW • Livingston: DWLLDLLDLLDDLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 56% | 65% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 72% | 17% | 29% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 6% | 6% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heart Of Midlothian | Livingston |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 81.0% | 19.0% |
Advice: Winner : Heart Of Midlothian
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heart Of Midlothian = 2.86 (league 1.54), Livingston = 0.45 (league 1.25)
| Livingston | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heart Of Midlothian | 0 | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.3% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 3.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1