Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Fir Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.54) 0.45 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 17.5% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.2%
1 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 8.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotherwellST Mirren
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack40%47%
Defense93%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motherwell ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played10102010818
Wins60%20%40%30%13%22%
Draws30%60%45%40%25%33%
Loses10%20%15%30%63%44%

Form: Motherwell: DDDDDWLLWWDWWDDWDWLW • ST Mirren: LDDDWWLLLDLLLDWWDL

League goals

Metric Motherwell ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total1612287916
GF avg1.61.21.40.71.10.9
GA total5111681624
GA avg0.51.10.80.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotherwellST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%61%72%
1.550%20%22%39%
2.515%10%6%22%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotherwellST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310505
Failed to score145527

Penalties

MetricMotherwellST Mirren
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricMotherwellST Mirren
Wins22
Draws53
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-20-33-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricMotherwellST Mirren
Form56%44%
Att46%54%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h62%38%
Goals46%54%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Motherwell or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motherwell = 2.07 (league 1.54), ST Mirren = 0.45 (league 1.22)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motherwell 0 8.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.6% 7.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 6 , vtd1